A look at the Real Estate Board of Vancouver’s September statistics shows continued evidence that pricing is beginning to be affected by a rapid slowdown in sales. Overall benchmark pricing is down 0.8% YoY and 1.8% over the last six months.

A more detailed review of performance by submarket shows some clear winners and losers over the last 6 months around the time the market started to show signs of weakening. Only 4 submarkets did not show a decline in benchmark prices over the past 6 months: Coquitlam, North Vancouver, Port Moody and Squamish.

Source: REBGV stats. Benchmark resale price change over 6 months ending Sep 2012.

Perhaps not surprisingly, the biggest benchmark price decline over the past 6 months was for single family homes on the West side of Vancouver, declining 6.3%. Richmond was not far behind. Port Coquitlam also showed a decrease of 4.0% in attached homes.

Squamish and Port Moody were clearly two of the strongest markets, showing price increases over the past 6 months for every housing type. One could argue that every submarket will eventually show declines, although some markets, such as Squamish appear to have little room to drop amid stagnant sales activity since 2007.

Housing Analysis Blog has underaken a more in-depth analysis of the stats release; worth the read…

Coquitlam multifamily assets have shown a steady increase in value over the past 5 years as cap rates for apartment buildings have dropped across the region. This market is predominantly characterized by low-rise buildings. The average sales value over the past five years in this market is about $125,000, a value range that is consistent with areas such as East Vancouver and New Westminster.

Values for apartment buildings in East Vancouver have grown steadily over the past 10 years and have generally tracked rents in its upward trajectory. The supply of rental units in this market is limited to new condos in areas such as Main and Fraser Street. Transaction activity has been fairly limited in this market with few sellers; however, a number of buildings have been acquired by investors looking to take advantage of rising rents, particularly in trendy areas near Main Street and Commercial Drive.

This market is predominantly characterized by low-rise buildings and complexes over 40-years of age. The average sales value over the past five years in this market is about $145,000.

East Vancouver has traditionally been considered an affordable option to renters relative to the Westside or West End; this is evident in rents which are on average approx. 15% lower. According to CMHC, the average one-bedroom rents for $915 in Mount Pleasant/Renfrew Heights, and $845 in the East Hastings Area.

Much of the transaction activity taking place in East Vancouver over the past few years have been of older apartment product that has been renovated and reintroduced to the market at higher rental rates. Average cap rates have hovered in the 4.0% to 5.0% range, with lower cap rates for older buildings with upside potential.

According to CMHC, vacancy rates for apartments are generally around 1.0%; which will continue to be tight amid little new rental supply. Investors will continue to look to East Vancouver for buildings with upside as well as those properties which are well-positioned for future growth and rent increases.

Below is an update to some data we posted previously outlining activity and pricing for Downtown Vancouver condo resales. Sales volume was down 30% YoY in August 2012. For product less than 2 years old, the market has come off in terms of both pricing and sales activity. The majority of newer condo product downtown continues to trade in the bandwidth between $600 and $800 per sq ft.

Source: REBGV stats.

Below are average cap rates derived from aggregated sales data over 6 months ending September 2012.