Here is a look at the 31 rezoning applications in the City of Vancouver that have not yet been approved. The various applications have been ranked based upon the % increase in density.

Some interesting observations:

• The average proposed % increase in density is 157%. (Average existing density is 2.00 FSR compared to the average proposed density of 4.42 FSR)
• The top 7 proposed increases in density are single family assemblies along the Cambie Corridor.
• Outside the Cambie Corridor, the average % increase is relatively modest, only 98%.
• Of the 31 rezoning apps:
  • 21 are on the Westside of Vancouver, 10 in East Vancouver
  • 14 contain some form of rental housing.
  • 19 will likely require some form of Community Amenity Contribution*
  • 13 propose mid-rise or highrise forms (only 6 outside Downtown)

An analysis of year to date resales for concrete condos less than 3 years old shows that average pricing is approx. $800 per SF.

At 3.1% growth since 2006, average pricing has outpaced inflation, but pricing has been relatively flat in 2013, up less than 1% year over year.

As we approach the end of summer, a look at transaction activity in Metro Vancouver at the 2/3 mark of the year shows a fairly significant drop compared to this time last year. Research prepared by Colliers International shows the number of transactions of over $3 Million down slightly for retail and apartment properties, and down almost 50% for office buildings (where supply has been scarce) and land (where demand is down after a busy 2012 that saw many large sites acquired).

An article in the Vancouver Sun mentions Realnet research reflects these numbers and shows even greater declines in Calgary and Toronto during the same period.

Perhaps this indicates the market’s collective belief that valuations are peaking for both investment properties and development sites.