Vancouver Market - Tracking commercial real estate investment sales across Metro Vancouver — sale prices, cap rates, and $/SF data for apartment, retail, office, land, and development transactions. By David Taylor, SVP at Colliers International Canada.
Vancouver Market - Tracking commercial real estate investment sales across Metro Vancouver — sale prices, cap rates, and $/SF data for apartment, retail, office, land, and development transactions. By David Taylor, SVP at Colliers International Canada.
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Investment, Retail

Canadian Tire Plans $3.5-billion REIT with IPO in the Fall

Canadian Tire Corp. is taking a page from Loblaw Cos. Ltd.’s books, unveiling plans to spin off most of  its billions in property holdings into a real estate investment trust.

The REIT would own the Canadian chain’s portfolio of some 250 properties, roughly 18 million square feet worth $3.5-billion, the company announced Thursday. Canadian Tire would hold 80 per cent to 90 per cent of the REIT, with the rest going to investors through an initial public offering planned for the fall.

The company holds more than that going into the REIT, but stores under scrutiny for replacement, development or relocation wouldn’t be included.

“We are executing a strategy that reinforces the strength of our Company while pursuing new growth opportunities organically and through acquisition,” said chief executive officer Stephen Wetmore.

Read more: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/canadian-tire-plans-35-billion-reit-with-ipo-in-the-fall/article11811229/

May 9, 2013by david.taylor@colliers.com
Market Research

Market Spotlight: Metro Vancouver Residential Stats

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver has released stats for April which show mixed results, but cautious optimism across Metro Vancouver. A sample of selected areas in Metro Vancouver shows pricing at various trajectories as follows:

Metro Van HPI Stats May 2013

 Year over year pricing is still in decline pretty much across the board, with the exception of some of the Fraser Valley suburbs which did not exhibit significant price increases over the past two years. Pitt Meadows condos, for example, have shown a slight increase of 5.5% since May 2012. Other markets with much higher levels of new inventory, such as North Burnaby, have declined about 2.5% year over year.

Prices appear to have stabilized on the Westside of Vancouver after a solid 10-month decline that saw a drop of 8.5% in benchmark prices. Prices are actually up 3.5% since hitting a two-year low in January.

Metro Van HPI Stats May 2013_2

 

Source: REBGV Stats.

May 8, 2013by david.taylor@colliers.com
Development

Quality Inn at 1335 Howe Street to be Redeveloped

1335 Howe Street

Intergulf Development Group in conjuction with the owners of the Quality Inn at 1335 Howe Street are proposing a 39 storey, 180 unit residential tower in Downtown South.  The architect for the project is Ramsay Worden.

A preliminary open house for the project was held on April 3 at the Quality Inn. 

Cue outrage from purchasers of suites in Maddox and Salt.

April 8, 2013by david.taylor@colliers.com
Investment, Market Research

For Many Sellers in Vancouver, Short-Term Gains Are Irresistable

How much longer can values keep going up at this rate? This is a question we are asked all the time, even by savvy and experienced investors who know the Vancouver market well. As we have documented before, there are numerous factors that have driven capitalization rates to an all-time low, many of which are external to the local market.

A trend we have noticed in recent sales however, is that many of the sellers have only held the assets for a few years.

To get a glimpse of what kind of gains these sellers are achieving, we took a look at a handful of sales in each asset class over the past two years. The criteria was as follows:

  • Apartment, retail and office properties (5 each) that sold since September 2011 over $5 Million
  • Properties that were acquired less than 10 years before they were sold and did not experience significant capital expenditures

From this sample set of 15 sales that took place during this period, the average annual rate of appreciation is displayed below:

Cap Appreciation_April 2013Some observations taken from this sample of sales activity:

  • Average property was held for 5.5 years and then sold.
  • The annual appreciation ranged from 4.4% to 13.1%, and averaged 8.6%.
  • Notable resales in this survey included: Bentall 5, which was sold by Deka to Bentall Kennedy after 3 years and 10% gain per year. 2450 Ontario Street sold in February 2013 also after 3 years, and also after a 10% annual gain.
  • Note that the above data does not even reflect the overall return to the sellers as it does not incorporate the cash flow component of the return during the holding period. While yields have been driven to all-time lows, cash flow has historically been the bigger component of real estate returns. This should be something for all owners and buyers to think about in Vancouver.

This type of resales activity isn’t unexpected in a market that is continually being inundated with capital and buyers, many of whom are new to the market. Interestingly many of the sellers in the above survey are well-capitalized and don’t need the cash, they are simply selling based upon the view that currently achievable values aren’t sustainable in the near term. Our question is (as echoed by our clients): how long can these types of gains last?

In our view, there will be more assets coming to the market as the risks to the provincial and local economic outlook begin to pressure more owners to cash out and realize gains. In most areas, cap rates have no further room to decrease.

April 8, 2013by david.taylor@colliers.com
Investment

Big Players Cash Out of Hong Kong Property (Is Vancouver Next?)

From the Wall Street Journal (Big Players Cash Out of Hong Kong Property), note some of the similarities between the commercial price increases in Vancouver’s market and Hong Kong’s market.

HONG KONG — With the government growing confident that it has halted the meteoric rise in property prices, some of this city’s biggest real-estate investors are getting out.

Several of Hong Kong’s wealthiest families are planning initial public offerings of hotels, offices and other real-estate assets in coming months, while others are lowering prices on luxury apartments to entice buyers.

Fueled by low interest rates and a flood of money from wealthy Chinese, Hong Kong’s real-estate market has boomed, with residential prices up 120% and commercial real-estate prices up 90% since the start of 2008, according to government data.

Among the sellers is New World Development Co. Ltd., a conglomerate run by the Cheng family with interests ranging from hotels to offices to jewelry stores. The family hopes to raise up to $1 billion in an offering of some of its hotel properties, people familiar with the matter said. The company owns the city’s Grand Hyatt and other well-known hotels, but it’s not clear which properties would be included in the offering.

Read more: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324789504578384220036108516.html

March 27, 2013by david.taylor@colliers.com
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David Taylor Personal Real Estate Corporation

Colliers International

DT

David Taylor

Senior Vice President, Colliers Canada

David Taylor is a Senior Vice President at Colliers International in Vancouver, BC, specializing in the sale of commercial real estate across Metro Vancouver. He has sold over $1.7 Billion in office buildings, retail properties, apartment buildings and development land since 2004.

Vancouver Market chronicles investment and development activity in Metro Vancouver, including sale prices, cap rates, $/SF metrics, and market context for commercial real estate transactions.

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