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Vancouver Market - Tracking commercial real estate investment sales across Metro Vancouver — sale prices, cap rates, and $/SF data for apartment, retail, office, land, and development transactions. By David Taylor, SVP at Colliers International Canada.
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Development, Market Research

Amid Swift Unit Sales, Cambie Street Land Values Continue Uptick

The Cambie Corridor Plan has been approved for almost four years now and a great deal has taken place within the plan area from 16th to Marine Drive. The end result of five years of planning and development activity is only beginning to be seen with a handful of buildings sprouting up. Up and down the Corridor, numerous land assemblies have occurred, with dozens of rezoning applications at various stages of the process. Eleven sites have now had rezoning enacted; meaning they have been officially approved by the City.

Approximately 28% of the 439 lots in the plan area have now been sold to 42 different developers, and despite a growing list of projects at various stages of construction and approvals, demand from developers continues unabated, particularly for prime locations such as those near Queen Elizabeth Park and Langara Golf Course. The result has been an increase in land values of almost 20% since the Cambie Corridor Plan was adopted by Vancouver City Council in May 2011.

The following chart depicts all of the site/land assembly sales that have taken place within the plan area since 2009.

* based on approved density, or plan maximum where no application exists yet.

* based on approved density, or plan maximum where no application exists yet.

So why are values going up despite an increase in the number of projects coming down the pipeline? Two underlying factors appear to be primary valuation drivers for Cambie land sales, particularly over the past 18 months.

First, a handful of projects have now gone into the marketing phase and have achieved very strong sales in terms of both pricing and sales velocity. In desirable areas of the corridor, woodframe product in selling in the $650-$700 per SF range, and concrete product is selling in the $775-$825 per SF range. Clearly there is a market for new condo product anywhere on the Westside of Vancouver, and Cambie’s accessibility and proximity to transit, parks and schools appeals to many buyers. Developers such as Mosaic Homes and Intergulf have been able to capitalize on this demand.

Secondly, the Cambie Corridor Plan facilitates a relatively straightforward rezoning process that is difficult to find elsewhere in the City. Opportunities for densification in other areas of Vancouver are now almost entirely limited to commercial strips such as Broadway with existing zoning for mixed-use multifamily. With public pushback to other planning efforts in such areas as Grandview-Woodlands where public consultation is being prolonged at the behest of vocal community organizations, developers are forced to concentrate their efforts to the path of least resistance. The Marpole Community Plan was also approved in 2014, though is far less ambitious than Cambie, partially as a result of public opposition, and will result in far fewer rezoning applications and developments.

With a dearth in supply of new sites for development elsewhere in the City of Vancouver, Cambie Street land values will likely continue its steady upward march so long as attendant condo demand continues to be strong.

March 14, 2015by david.taylor@colliers.com
Investment, Market Research

Top Metro Vancouver Commercial Properties: 2015

Here is a summary of Metro Vancouver’s most valuable commercial real estate assets. The summary is based on a survey of the top 25 commercial properties ranked by the 2015 tax assessment value. While assessed values don’t neccesarily reflect market values, this analysis provides a fairly accurate snapshot of our city’s most valuable assets:

2015 Assessment ValuesA few observations:

  • Metrotopolis at Metrotown continues to hold its rank as by far Metro Vancouver’s most valuable commercial property, as it has for the last decade. The nearly 1.8M sq ft shopping centre is now assessed at over $1 Billion. This value does not include the adjacent office towers which would likely add another $200 Million, also owned by Caisse de depot, which is Quebec’s largest pension fund manager.
  • The redevelopment of Sears into Nordstrom significantly bolstered its assessment value. Including the office towers, Pacific Centre is now valued at over $1 Billion.
  • Renovations and improvements at aging regional shopping centres including Park Royal and Guildford Town Centre bolstered values significantly.
  • Oakridge Centre’s value had a large increase likely based on it’s 2014 rezoning for over 2,000 residential units.
  • Langara Gardens and Landsdowne Centre both fell off this list, but will likely return in the near future. Both properties are slated for redevelopment. Landsdowne in particular is speculated to have significant redevelopment value.
  • Pension funds control the vast majority of these larger core/trophy assets. (77% to be exact)
  • A group of 6 pension fund managers (some in partnership) control well over 50% of the top 25.
  • While the top 3 are super regional shopping centres, 15 of the top 25 are Downtown office towers.

2015 Assessment_Tbl1 2015 Assessment_Tbl2 2015 Assessment_Tbl3

 

February 25, 2015by david.taylor@colliers.com
Market Research

Market Snapshot: Westside/Downtown Condo Price Index

Vancouver West HPI_Feb 2015Source: REBGV Stats

February 6, 2015by david.taylor@colliers.com
Market Research

MARKET POLL: Transit Referendum

The transit plebiscite is getting a lot of media coverage as the campaigns on both sides of the debate ramp-up. For those not familiar, a proposed 0.5% Metro Vancouver Congestion Tax is being proposed to fund the Mayor’s Council transportation plan, which includes a Broadway Rapid Transit Line, Surrey Rapid Transit Line, new Pattulo Bridge and new B-Line bus services. Mail-in ballots will be sent out beginning March 16, 2015 with voting until May 29, 2015. More information about the referendum and the transit plan is available here.

Which way are you leaning?

[poll id=”8″]

February 3, 2015by david.taylor@colliers.com
Market Research

Market Snapshot: City of Vancouver CACs

Next week the City of Vancouver Standing Committee on Planning, Transportation and Environment will present the annual report on Community Amenity Contributions (CACs) and Density Bonusing. The report going to council is for information purposes and provides an interesting snapshot of the amount of CAC’s generated by the City (in 2013). Here’s a few highlights:

  • 2013 approvals of additional density resulted in public benefits valued at $133 Million and 886 secured market rental units
  • In 2013, there were 45 project approvals resulting in 2.6 Milion SF of additional density (rezoning/bonusing)
  • In 2013, five large rezoning approvals accounted for 60% of all additional floor area approved and 70% of all contributions committed
    • These are: 508 Helmcken, Burrard Place, 1300 Richards, Vancouver House and 4533 Cambie St.
  • Half of all CACs are realized by services provided on-site

CAC report CAC report_1

Top 10 Rezonings in 2013 – Ranked by Public Benefit

January 16, 2015by david.taylor@colliers.com
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David Taylor - Senior Vice President @ColliersCanada. Chronicling investment and development activity in Vancouver. Views are my own.

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First Capital REIT acquired by Choice Properties and KingSett for $5.2-billion

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First Capital REIT --> Choice Properties REIT and Kingsett Capital are teaming up to acquire the Canadian real estate company in a deal valued at over $9 billion, including assumed debt. Choice Properties will acquire roughly five billion dollars worth of shopping centres, while

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16 Apr

West Vancouver condo project in receivership, causing 'heartbreak' in Dundarave

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9 Apr

Greater Vancouver commercial real estate transactions down 8.3% in 2025 via @westerninvestor

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David Taylor Personal Real Estate Corporation

Colliers International

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David Taylor

Senior Vice President, Colliers Canada

David Taylor is a Senior Vice President at Colliers International in Vancouver, BC, specializing in the sale of commercial real estate across Metro Vancouver. He has sold over $1.7 Billion in office buildings, retail properties, apartment buildings and development land since 2004.

Vancouver Market chronicles investment and development activity in Metro Vancouver, including sale prices, cap rates, $/SF metrics, and market context for commercial real estate transactions.

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